- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 23-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 31-18 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-2, 3.48 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 3-1, 2.43 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -110 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -110 | -110 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+18.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+17.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+17.20 Units / 96% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.34 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-26 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -10.35% ROI).
- 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -15.83% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 31-18 against the Run Line (+9.74 Units / 14.39% ROI).
- 30-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 21.26% ROI
- 18-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -24.01% ROI
- 28-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 15.72% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– third Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Casey Mize — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) against Casey Mize this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– third Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an OBP of just .154 (39 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 99th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has walked 28 of 204 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (13 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .391 — third Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of just .293 (39 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 25-140 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Tigers are just 21-30 (.412) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,384 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .662 (13,724 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .392 (218 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 124 of 1,736 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (618.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
