Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
  • The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Royals
  • Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Tigers / Royals TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC | MLBN

The Detroit Tigers () visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 23-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 32-18 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 6-0, 1.80 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 3-3, 3.72 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers O
Royals U

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+9.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+18.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 85% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.04 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 66% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-27 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -13.09% ROI).

  • 23-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -7.57% ROI
  • 24-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 8.6% ROI
  • 18-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -17.85% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 32-18 against the Run Line (+11.44 Units / 16.65% ROI).

  • 31-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 22.53% ROI
  • 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -21.71% ROI
  • 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 13.15% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Marsh (KC) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Casey Mize (DET) 3.5 +110 3.5 -145

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .211 (209 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .160 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (29 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (563/798) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (136/414) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (16-for-44) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — fifth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .121 (4 Total Bases / 33 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 94th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 50% (64 SO in 128 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

The Tigers are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Tigers are just 21-30 (.412) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 21-48 (.304) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,414 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,414 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 125 of 1,777 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.