- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
- Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 6 Runs
- Twins / Cubs TV Channel: BSNO | MARQ
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 63-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-60 ATS.
Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 10-7, 4.67 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 3.12 ERA
Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 6 -105 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -200 | U 6 -115 | -105 |
Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+16.00 Units / 114% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 36 games (+23.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 44 games (+21.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+21.45 Units / 82% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+10.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 103 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 55-56 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.23% ROI).
- 63-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.16% ROI
- 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -11.42% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 55-60 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 55-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.14% ROI
- 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 6.65% ROI
Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (219/613) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 9 of 243 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 28% (56 SO in 197 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 4 of 176 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .369 (41-for-111) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .227 (176 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (304/843) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are 51-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 122-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are just 8-16 (.333) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Cubs are 33-31 (.516) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 13-175 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are just 42-10 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,309 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Twins have scored 1.82 runs per game (496/273) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,361 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Twins have scored 193 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .226 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting just .324 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .530 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Cubs are batting .288 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 731 of 10,131 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,199 of 16,173 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,019 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 53 double plays in 813 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,905 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Twins vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
