- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT
The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 56-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 54-50 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 8-7, 4.90 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-3, 6.04 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Twins | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | -175 |
Tigers | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | +145 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edouard Julien has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+27.00 Units / 129% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 81 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 17 games (+16.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+12.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 48-53 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -4.78% ROI).
- 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -1.27% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -9.42% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 54-50 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 51-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -3.81% ROI
- 55-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 7.55% ROI
- 42-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -16.82% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Keider Montero (DET) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has walked 5 of 180 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (215/597) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (115/330) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 50% (17 SO in 34 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (3/20) against Keider Montero over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Keider Montero in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Keider Montero in his last two starts — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (5/24) against Keider Montero in his last two starts — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 54-17 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Twins are 24-84 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 183-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 32-23 (.582) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 9-14 (.391) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are just 29-162 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 27-37 (.422) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Twins have scored 1.80 runs per game (474/263) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
The Twins have scored 171 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.
Twins hitters have drawn 58 walks in 943 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,050 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Tigers are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 255 of 3,740 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 698 of 9,768 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 277 of 3,846 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 322 of 3,794 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.