- White Sox / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ
The Chicago White Sox (+120) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Friday, March 1, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the White Sox are 1-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 3-4 ATS.
White Sox vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +120 |
| Cubs | -145 |
White Sox vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 0-6 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.77 Units / -68.44% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.37 Units / -35.53% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 29.1% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 3-4 against the Run Line (-1.27 Units / -14% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.93 Units / -10.13% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech walked 50 of 291 left-handed batters (17%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech walked 41 of 228 batters (18%) versus the top of the order in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech walked 41 of 300 right-handed batters (14%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech had a strike rate of just 56% (686/1,225) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (824/1,808) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (1,150/2,678) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 45% of his pitches inside (324/715) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (215/463) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
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