White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa walks to the dugout after an at-bat in Game 2 of an American League Division Series baseball game against the Houston Astros in Houston, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023.
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Twins are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH | MLBN

The Chicago White Sox (+240) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-300) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the White Sox are 27-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 51-56 ATS.

White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 0-0, 3.38 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-7, 3.62 ERA

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +120O 8.5 -115+240
Twins -1.5 -140U 8.5 -105-300

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+19.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 51 away games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 away games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 48-63 against the Run Line (-21.55 Units / -16.14% ROI).

  • 27-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -48.3 Units / -42.31% ROI
  • 50-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -9.55% ROI
  • 56-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.2% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 51-56 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -5.6% ROI).

  • 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.44% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 2.1% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -10.83% ROI

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Ryan (MIN) 6.5 -145 6.5 +110
Davis Martin (CWS) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Davis Martin has thrown his slider 45% of the time (27/60) over the past seven days (1 games) — 10th highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 32% — 87th Percentile.

Davis Martin has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (19/34) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 10th highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 35% — 85th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (46/143) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 241 left-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 34% (64 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 20 of 507 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 6-16 (.273) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The White Sox are just 71-61 (.538) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The White Sox are just 9-33 (.214) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The White Sox are just 13-14 (.481) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Twins are just 23-43 (.348) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Twins are 118-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (7,765 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (9,981 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Twins have scored 1.85 runs per game (198/107) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,259 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,883 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Twins have scored 1.78 runs per game (480/269) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The White Sox have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.