- The Twins are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-210) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the White Sox are 27-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 52-56 ATS.
White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-8, 3.22 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 10-5, 3.76 ERA
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -115 | +170 |
| Twins | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -105 | -210 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+20.10 Units / 183% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+12.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 81% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.25 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 31 away games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+7.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 48-64 against the Run Line (-22.55 Units / -16.76% ROI).
- 27-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -49.3 Units / -42.81% ROI
- 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -8.65% ROI
- 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.29% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 52-56 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 60-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.75% ROI
- 56-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.93% ROI
- 48-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -11.66% ROI
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (76 SO in 195 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 35% (160 SO in 462 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (39 SO in 98 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 43% (48 SO in 112 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of just .151 (27 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (26-for-176) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has a strikeout rate of 40% (15 SO in 38 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of just .317 (52 PA’s) in his last two starts — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .700 — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 6-16 (.273) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The White Sox are just 17-67 (.202) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The White Sox are just 23-28 (.451) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The White Sox are just 22-18 (.550) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are 56-19 (.747) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Twins are 187-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (7,797 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (10,013 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,323 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Twins have scored 1.80 runs per game (486/270) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Twins have scored 1.89 runs per game (204/108) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have allowed 1.77 runs per game (198/112) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 3% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have walked 721 of 10,019 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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