- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Yankees are 77-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 74-57 ATS.
Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 7-10, 4.02 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-7, 4.27 ERA
Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -120 | O 9 +100 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 9 -120 | +155 |
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+18.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+18.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 30 games (+18.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+24.80 Units / 118% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mitchell Parker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.30 Units / 71% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 74 games (+23.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+16.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 away games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 62% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 123 games (+12.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 75% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 70-61 against the Run Line (+12.55 Units / 7.84% ROI).
- 77-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -3.06% ROI
- 72-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 7.67% ROI
- 55-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -24 Units / -16.7% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 74-57 against the Run Line (+8.48 Units / 4.95% ROI).
- 59-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 2.2% ROI
- 63-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.18% ROI
- 62-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.17 Units / -5.62% ROI
Nationals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Trevino (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (117 Total Bases / 219 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (7-for-48) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — 98th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .869 (234 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (135/436) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (16/71) against Mitchell Parker this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (34/253) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (13/55) against Mitchell Parker this month (4 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — eighth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 68% (518/757) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 25-12 (.676) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Yankees are 64-4 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Yankees are 77-53 (.592) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 55-223 (.198) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 90-135 (.400) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .796 (3,609 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Yankees hitters have drawn 82 walks in 640 PA’s (13%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 174 walks in 1,450 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 544 walks in 5,059 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .956 (2,024 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
Nationals hitters have 99 extra-base hits out of 329 total hits (just 30%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.79 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 32 of 245 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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