- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | AMZP
The New York Yankees (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Yankees are 78-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 75-58 ATS.
Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 14-8, 4.03 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 7-11, 4.48 ERA
Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -120 | O 9 -115 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 9 -105 | +155 |
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+19.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+19.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+17.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+23.80 Units / 108% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 76 games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.40 Units / 99% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 away games (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 125 games (+12.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+8.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 125 games (+7.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 65% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 71-62 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 7.31% ROI).
- 78-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 72-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.85 Units / 6.02% ROI
- 57-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -22 Units / -15.08% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 75-58 against the Run Line (+8.88 Units / 5.12% ROI).
- 60-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 2.98% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.17 Units / -4.18% ROI
Nationals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (56/168) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.85 (44.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.69 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (103/322) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (75/235) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (127/393) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (92/294) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (42-for-116) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed a BABIP of .368 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 117-36 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 76-40 (.655) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Yankees are 42-25 (.627) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 91-136 (.401) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 34-55 (.382) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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