- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-115) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Yankees are 64-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-53 ATS.
Yankees vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 4-9, 4.14 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 7-6, 3.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | -105 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -115 |
Yankees vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+16.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 52 games (+20.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+16.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.59 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 away games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 57 of their last 92 games (+19.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 47 games at home (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 58-51 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 10.05% ROI).
- 64-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.26% ROI
- 59-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 6.65% ROI
- 46-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -15.64% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-53 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.59% ROI).
- 65-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -10.17% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 0.94% ROI
Phillies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .543 (100 Total Bases / 184 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .301 (25-for-83) against Nestor Cortes’ elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (117/370) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (20/253) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (87/140) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (152/235) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (210/353) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (285/474) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Yankees are 12-16 (.429) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Yankees are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 65-20 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Phillies are 15-10 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Phillies are just 2-9 (.182) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 17-24 (.415) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,094 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .792 (3,094 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .253 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,328 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters are slugging .510 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 63% at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies pitchers have walked 292 of 3,973 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,648 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Phillies vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
