- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: AMZP | BSUN
The New York Yankees (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 55-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 43-48 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-4, 3.58 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 5-5, 4.20 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+8.44 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 away games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 88 games (+24.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 49-44 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 9.43% ROI).
- 55-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.54% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -11.58% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 43-48 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.16% ROI).
- 45-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -8.9% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.18% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (51/298) against Marcus Stroman this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (544/901) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (63/229 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 45 of 426 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 8 of 385 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 3 of 215 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (83/235) against Zach Eflin when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 32 of 1,088 batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 57-60 (.487) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 10-13 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Yankees are 139-37 (.790) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 23-11 (.676) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 23-11 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 11-95 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 30-54 (.357) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 106 walks in 946 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 380 walks in 3,663 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 363 walks in 3,537 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 183 strikeouts in 562 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
27% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% with runners in scoring position this month (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,081 of 15,390 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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