- The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 55-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-48 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-6, 4.26 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-5, 4.40 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +105 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.84 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 away games (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 87 games (+25.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 49-43 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 10.44% ROI).
- 55-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.56% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -11.72% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-48 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -8.1% ROI).
- 44-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -9.87% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -4.05% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.23% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .611 (11-for-18) against Carlos Rodon in late innings this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of 1.441 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .666 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has walked 6 of 162 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .195 (42-for-215) against Carlos Rodon with two-strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 14th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .134 (18-for-134) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (39 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .310 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .198 (84-for-425) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (18 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
No Matchup notes for this Game
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 105 walks in 942 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 379 walks in 3,659 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .218 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,174 of their 9,472 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .662 (2,576 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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