- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 26-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-23 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-3, 3.73 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 1-2, 3.03 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 20 away games (+23.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+16.50 Units / 206% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 20-20 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 5.06% ROI).
- 26-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 10.3% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -18.42% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 9.82% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 16-23 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -15.37% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -16.98% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -12.09% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (34/131) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (17/52) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to April 8th — Bryse Wilson has the longest active streak at 7.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (99/317) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Zack Littell’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .322 (19-for-59) against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .217 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (15/50) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (40/117) against Zack Littell this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 52-51 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 162-10 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Yankees are 87-5 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 14-31 (.311) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,732 of their 7,495 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .758 (3,138 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .120 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 946 of 13,424 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
