Yankees vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Yankees vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Yankees / Tigers TV Channel: YES | BSDT

The New York Yankees (-200) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+165) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Yankees are 72-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 65-57 ATS.

Yankees vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-2, 4.73 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -120O 8 -105-200
Tigers +1.5 +100U 8 -125+165

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+27.00 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+14.15 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+27.50 Units / 196% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 65 games (+24.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 63 away games (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 away games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 away games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 35 games (+19.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 105 games (+9.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 60% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 64-58 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 7.13% ROI).

  • 72-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 68-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.55 Units / 9.32% ROI
  • 50-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.7 Units / -18.45% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 65-57 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 1.41% ROI).

  • 59-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -3.48% ROI
  • 63-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 4.48% ROI
  • 52-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.35 Units / -13.22% ROI

Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jose Trevino (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Oswaldo Cabrera (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole (NYY) 6.5 -135 6.5 +105

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (26/52) against Gerrit Cole over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .310 (192 Total Bases / 620 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 95th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has struck out 32% (268/848) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .206 (128-for-620) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 95th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keider Montero has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 19th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (21/123) against Keider Montero this month (3 games) — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/72) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Keider Montero this season is 383.4 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Yankees are 40-22 (.645) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Yankees are 24-11 (.686) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Yankees are 59-3 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .854.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Tigers are 27-3 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .758.

The Tigers are 10-45 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Tigers are just 40-11 (.784) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are 62-14 (.816) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.

Yankees hitters have drawn 157 walks in 1,284 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 431 walks in 4,001 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,724 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (8,273 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,611 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2

The Yankees have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 323 of 4,520 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 799 of 10,593 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
  • Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.