- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Tigers TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Yankees (+105) visit Journey Bank Ballpark to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Williamsport, PA.
This season, the Yankees are 73-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 66-58 ATS.
Yankees vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 8-6, 4.04 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 14-4, 2.53 ERA
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+25.00 Units / 109% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+26.50 Units / 177% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 67 games (+22.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 away games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 away games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 37 games (+19.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 107 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 58% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 65-59 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 6.7% ROI).
- 73-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 68-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.4 Units / 7.6% ROI
- 52-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -16.67% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 66-58 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.54% ROI).
- 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.35 Units / -11.5% ROI
Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 76% of the time (823/1,089) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 19 of 110 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 60% of the time (1,248/2,078) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (223/395) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .204 (103 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (536 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .121 (16-for-132) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 25-12 (.676) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Yankees are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Yankees are 40-9 (.816) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Yankees are 114-35 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 10-46 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Tigers are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Tigers are just 102-122 (.455) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are just 12-18 (.400) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (3,477 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .338 (3,477 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees hitters have drawn 157 walks in 1,316 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (8,316 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,654 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .300 (10,666 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 329 of 4,589 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 332 of 3,976 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
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