- The Twins are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | AMZP
The New York Yankees (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Yankees are 28-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 22-19 ATS.
Yankees vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 2-2, 3.83 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-2, 3.92 ERA
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -110 | +115 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -110 | -135 |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+18.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 away games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+9.05 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+28.20 Units / 166% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 85% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.99 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 22-21 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 7.84% ROI).
- 28-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 11.16% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 6.73% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 22-19 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 3.48% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 4.68% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.68% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -9.2% ROI
Twins vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (201/349) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 59% (454/763) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (69/123) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (57/187 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (42/127) against Pablo Lopez this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 72 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (195/526) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 72 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 86-27 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Yankees are 66-39 (.629) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 53-52 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are 21-62 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Twins are 90-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,754 of their 7,614 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 104 extra-base hits out of 236 total hits (44%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have 137 extra-base hits out of 331 total hits (41%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 123 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Yankees have won 59% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 106 of 1,533 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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