Murray State vs Drake Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

min read
Drake Bulldogs head coach Darian DeVries watches his team from the sidelines.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2024, 8:41 AM
  • Drake (12-13) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Murray State (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Murray State / Drake TV channel: ESPN+

The Murray State Racers (11-14) visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs (12-13) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Des Moines, IA.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Murray State vs. Drake Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+9.5 -115O 140.5 -110+340
Drake -9.5 -105U 140.5 -110-450

Murray State vs Drake Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Drake Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -16.15% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -22.65% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -23.78% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4.15 Units / 15.23% ROI

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 3.12% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.01% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.35% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Murray State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (578 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (361 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (361 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake is shooting 48% (660/1,365) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Drake has a TS% of 51% this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has 153 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (328 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (652 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (465/1,367) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Drake has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,605 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Drake has averaged 5.8 steals per game (337 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Drake has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,820 points/3,310 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.