NBA Prop Bets: Today’s Best Bets for Player Props

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Joel Embiid shoots a free throw in a recent game.
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Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy May 18, 2022, 1:35 PM
  • We pick our favorite NBA favorite player prop bets to consider for today's games
  • Lines provided by BetMGM sportsbook

There is 1 game for today’ Wednesday NBA playoff slate, and we’ve identified a few favorable player prop bets on the BetMGM Sportsbook that you could consider ahead of tonight’s action.

NBA Player Prop Bets: Wednesday, May 18

Spencer Dinwiddie Under 11.5 Points (-105)

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors, 9:00pm ET

I have been waiting to bet this prop for three full days. In the first five games of the Phoenix series, Spencer Dinwiddie scored a total of 35 points; in the final two games of the Phoenix series, Dinwiddie scored 45 points.

The marketplace has completely lost track of Dinwiddie’s place as a secondary scoring option in this Dallas offense. Not only is he unlikely to connect on five three-pointers in this game, but he’s perhaps even more unlikely to attempt seven. That’s just not what his role is.

This is, on principle, a sell-high spot. And it’s my favorite bet of the day.

Klay Thompson Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors, 9:00pm ET

Perhaps a less obvious sell-high spot is here, fading Game 6 Klay after a monster 30-point performance in which he hit eight three-pointers. Klay just hasn’t looked right for large stretches of these playoffs. He hasn’t moved right and shot 42 percent in the Griz series, leading the Warriors offense to rely more on other scoring options.

Case in point: Klay would have hit this PRA number only one time in the five Memphis games prior to his Game 6 explosion. He’s also been underutilized by Steve Kerr in both Game 1s during these playoffs.

Draymond Green Under 7.5 Points (+100)

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors, 9:00pm ET

This seems like a dramatic number for an under, but it really isn’t if you’ve watched Warriors games. It’s not just that Draymond isn’t shooting well or scoring on offense – he’s not even trying to keep defenses honest. He’s actively looking to pass the ball to other players.

Draymond scored eight or more points just once in the entire Memphis series, averaging six points per contest. I don’t expect a dramatically different approach in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals.


Looking to place a player prop bet on tonight’s NBA games? New users receive a risk-free bet up to $1,000: Bet now with BetMGM


What is an NBA Prop Bet?

NBA player prop bets allow bettors to bet on very specific aspects of a game involving a player outcome. You might choose to bet on how many points your favorite player will score or whether or not a game will go to overtime.

In contrast, traditional straight bets often allow bettors to take a position on games in ways that are commonly mentioned in handicapping media, like the total, an NBA point spread, or NBA moneyline. Generally speaking, they are bets on the overall outcome of a game.

Exploring the NBA props page at your favorite online sportsbook is the best way to discover all the different types of props.

NBA Player Prop Bets

While there are a seemingly infinite number of potential NBA prop bets, the most popular are often player props that revolve around basic stat accumulation for star players. Things like:

“Will Steph Curry score more than 29.5 points?”

“Will Russell Westbrook record a triple-double?”

“Will Chris Paul record at least 8 assists?”

Many player props are centered around betting whether or not a specific player will record over or under a specific number on a given basketball statistic.

For a more complex bet, you can also bet whether or not a specific player will record over or under a specific number for a combined set of basketball statistics. For example, you might be that Kevin Durant records fewer than 49.5 combined points, rebounds and assists.

These player props are great options in online sports betting for those who want to isolate their wager to one specific player, rather than gamble on the collective performance of a team. If you don’t like any of today’s NBA betting lines, you can always consider the player prop market.

What is the Most Popular NBA Player Prop Bet?

The top 10 most popular NBA player prop bet types are: 

  1. Total Points scored
  2. Which player will score the 1st field goal 
  3. Total 3-point shots made
  4. Total Points + Rebounds + Assists by one player
  5. Total Rebounds
  6. Total Assists
  7. Total Assists + Rebound by one player
  8. Which player will score the 1st field goal + which team wins
  9. Total Points + Assists by one player
  10. Total Blocks

You can bet any individual category as a single prop bet. You also may be able to combine multiple props to create favorable NBA parlays.

NBA Team Prop Bets

Unlike individual player props, NBA team prop bets are wagers on a specific element of a team’s performance. Rather than betting on a team’s game outcome with a total or point spread, some bettors might choose to bet on a more granular detail of a game.

For instance, in a game between the Lakers and Celtics, one bettor may choose to bet on which team scores 20 points first, or which team calls the first timeout of the game.

Much like the extensive marketplace for player props, there are a seemingly infinite number of team props available for savvy bettors. The best way to discover them all is by exploring the NBA Props page at your favorite online sportsbook.

Place NBA Wagers at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on NBA odds throughout the season. From NBA spreads and live betting during games to futures and NBA Draft odds, there’s never a break in the NBA betting action at BetMGM.

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.