76ers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The 76ers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 27-16 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 19-25 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -115O 225.5 -115+220
Denver Nuggets -7.5 -105U 225.5 -105-275

Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the 76ers and Nuggets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Nuggets vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 83 games (+24.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+26.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 67 games (+18.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+18.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 27-16 (+9.35 Units / 19.77% ROI).

  • 29-14 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 3.45% ROI)
  • 27-16 against the Over for game total points (+9.4 Units / 19.89% ROI)
  • 16-27 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -28.96% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 19-25 (-8.6 Units / -16.9% ROI).

  • 31-15 against the Moneyline (+6.95 Units / 4.9% ROI)
  • 17-28 against the Over for game total points (-13.8 Units / -27.3% ROI)
  • 28-17 against the Under for game total points (+9.3 Units / 18.38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-38.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-26.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-25.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 95 games (-22.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 59 games (-20.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 37 games (-18.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 84 games (-18.00 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.50 Units / -26% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The 76ers were 32-13 (.711) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The 76ers were 45-10 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The 76ers are 9-2 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The 76ers are 19-8 (.704) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 22-4 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets were 19-7 (.731) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. 76ersSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 27

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Philadelphia 76ers – No Injuries Reported

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,766 points/3,435 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers have averaged 1.37 points per shot (7,135 points/5,207 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers have a 31% free throw rate (1,198 free throw attempts/3,836 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The 76ers have 27.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (2,785/5,407) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,774) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 9.0 steals per game (389 steals/43 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,484 rebounds/43 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers averaged 7.7 steals per game (635 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (315 steals/46 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed an eFG% of 53% this season — 7th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (463 steals/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Nuggets have allowed 13.5 fast break points per game (622 points/46 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.