76ers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 2

  • The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NSPA

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The 76ers vs Warriors Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 12-18 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-16 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -105O 219.5 -110+145
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -115U 219.5 -110-175

Warriors vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Warriors.

Warriors vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+22.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+18.64 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.08 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.82 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 12-18 (-7.8 Units / -22.91% ROI).

  • 13-18 against the Moneyline (-4.45 Units / -9.38% ROI)
  • 15-14 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.17% ROI)
  • 14-15 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-16 (-1.7 Units / -4.82% ROI).

  • 16-16 against the Moneyline (-9.9 Units / -15.44% ROI)
  • 13-19 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI)
  • 19-13 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games at home (-26.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games (-19.71 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 84 games (-31.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-30.87 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-25.32 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.54 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.85 Units / -23% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The 76ers are 1-4 (.200) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .393

The 76ers were 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The 76ers are 5-13 (.278) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 56.8 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The 76ers were 22-7 (.759) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Warriors are 19-8 (.704) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Warriors are 4-2 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .523

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,885/2,266) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The 76ers have a TS% of 49% this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The 76ers have a TS% of 48% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (478/671) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,871 free throw attempts/8,511 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Warriors have averaged 1.18 points per shot (524 points/443 shots) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (3,776 rebounds/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (991 rebounds/31 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The 76ers averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (283 steals/32 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (550 blocks/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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