Bucks vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Bucks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NBCH | WMLW

The Milwaukee Bucks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Bulls Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 25-34 against the spread, while the Bulls are 31-27 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-4.5 -115O 222.5 -110-190
Chicago Bulls +4.5 -105U 222.5 -110+155

Bulls vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Bulls.

Bulls vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 away games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+18.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+16.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 25-34 (-12.4 Units / -18.73% ROI).

  • 39-21 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -4.95% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-2.95 Units / -4.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 31-27 (+1.3 Units / 2.01% ROI).

  • 28-31 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -4.16% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -10.94% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-16.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-15.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 22 games (-14.60 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 78 games (-30.15 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-24.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 67 games (-19.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.20 Units / -20% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 20-5 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 14.6 made three-pointers per game this season — worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are 5-17 (.227) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 38% from three this season — T-8th-best in the NBA.

The Bulls are 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

The Bulls are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Bulls are 10-4 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Injury Report: Bulls vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 57% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,064 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Bulls have averaged 24.5 assists per game (1,321 assists/54 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have allowed 44.4 points in the paint per game (2,400 points/54 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.