- The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSE | FDWI
The Milwaukee Bucks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Bucks vs Hawks Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 22-27 against the spread, while the Hawks are 23-28 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -6.5 -115 | O 242.5 -110 | -275 |
| Atlanta Hawks | +6.5 -105 | U 242.5 -110 | +220 |
Hawks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Hawks.
Hawks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+14.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+12.31 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-27 (-7.7 Units / -14% ROI).
- 28-22 against the Moneyline (-16.45 Units / -12.61% ROI)
- 25-25 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 25-25 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 23-28 (-7.8 Units / -13.92% ROI).
- 23-28 against the Moneyline (+5.85 Units / 8.09% ROI)
- 31-20 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 16.04% ROI)
- 20-31 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -25.13% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-24.20 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.45 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.23 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.75 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (-56.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.00 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-20.95 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Bucks are 14-2 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.
The Bucks are 70-27 (.722) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 120.0 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.
The Bucks are 31-17 (.646) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-highest in the NBA.
The Bucks are 31-17 (.646) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Hawks are 9-21 (.300) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Hawks were 10-17 (.370) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Hawks are 8-14 (.364) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (270 points/49 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (700/1,810) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (790/1,078) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have 24.1 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Hawks had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hawks averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,295 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (360 steals/49 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,874 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 10.2 steals per game (520 steals/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
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