Bucks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

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Milwaukee Bucks logo on the left and Atlanta Hawks logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 30, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSWI | NBAt

The Milwaukee Bucks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Hawks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 32-40 against the spread, while the Hawks are 27-46 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-4.5 -105O 223.5 -115-190
Atlanta Hawks +4.5 -115U 223.5 -105+155

Hawks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Hawks.

Hawks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 59.6% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 31 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+17.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 games at home (+16.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+15.10 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 32-40 (-12 Units / -14.96% ROI).

  • 46-27 against the Moneyline (-14.5 Units / -5.71% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-46 (-23.6 Units / -29.39% ROI).

  • 34-39 against the Moneyline (-4.85 Units / -4.02% ROI)
  • 39-32 against the Over for game total points (+3.85 Units / 4.86% ROI)
  • 32-39 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -13.75% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 67 games (-28.65 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 86 games (-27.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 41 games (-23.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 80 games (-31.70 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (-26.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 39 away games (-21.15 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-20.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.10 Units / -39% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 32-2 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 9-25 (.265) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have averaged 52.3 rebounds/game this season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Hawks vs. BucksSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 30

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,248 points/844 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Bucks have averaged 1.35 points per shot (8,784 points/6,489 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Bucks have averaged 1.40 points per shot (4,355 points/3,116 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,199 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,974 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,720 rebounds/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,349 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (508/1,241) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (339 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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