Bucks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | BSIN | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Pacers Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 38-48 against the spread, while the Pacers are 46-39 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+5.5 -105O 217.5 -115+185
Indiana Pacers -5.5 -115U 217.5 -105-225

Pacers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 80.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pacers.

Pacers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 37 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 61 games (+20.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 38-48 (-14.8 Units / -15.48% ROI).

  • 51-36 against the Moneyline (-42.7 Units / -14.5% ROI)
  • 44-43 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -3.45% ROI)
  • 43-44 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -5.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 46-39 (+3.1 Units / 3.2% ROI).

  • 50-38 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI)
  • 44-42 against the Over for game total points (-2.25 Units / -2.35% ROI)
  • 42-44 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -6.69% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 61 games (-28.60 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-24.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 77 games (-21.40 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 55 games (-50.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (-28.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 42 away games (-22.60 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 87 games (-20.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 games (-19.80 Units / -12% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

Keys to the game – away

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Pacers vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, May 2

  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • AJ Green (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylin Galloway (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out For Season

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have 23.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Bucks have averaged 13.1 second chance points per game (1,073 points/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Pacers have averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,838 points/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,289 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.