Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | GCSE

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 39-37 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 32-43 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 72 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 39-37 (-1.7 Units / -1.98% ROI).

  • 44-34 against the Moneyline (-13.2 Units / -7.24% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 32-43 (-15.25 Units / -18.02% ROI).

  • 21-56 against the Moneyline (-26.55 Units / -26.93% ROI)
  • 42-34 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.43% ROI)
  • 34-42 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -14.4% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 84 games (-31.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.67 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 68 games (-23.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 85 games (-19.64 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-19.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (-23.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-21.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 43 away games (-18.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.63 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 86 games (-16.70 Units / -9% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bucks are 57-10 (.851) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Bucks are 76-53 (.589) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Bucks are 46-17 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pelicans are 2-8 (.200) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 8-38 (.174) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 7-27 (.206) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,071 rebounds/77 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Bucks have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (377 points/38 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (131/346) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,436 points/7,164 shots) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Pelicans have averaged 16.5 fast break points per game (1,270 points/77 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pelicans have averaged 110.0 points per game (8,470 points/77 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (558 steals/77 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,877 rebounds/77 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,116 steals/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,487 rebounds/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans have averaged 9.1 steals per game (709 steals/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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