Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | FDDT | NBAt

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 41-38 against the spread, while the Pistons are 43-35 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Friday‘s game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pistons.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.22 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 41-38 (-0.8 Units / -0.9% ROI).

  • 47-34 against the Moneyline (-9.3 Units / -4.71% ROI)
  • 41-39 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.13% ROI)
  • 39-41 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -6.85% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 43-35 (+4.45 Units / 5.05% ROI).

  • 44-36 against the Moneyline (+8.4 Units / 5.75% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 65 games (-24.65 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 72 games (-17.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 games (-30.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-17.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.65 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Bucks are 20-7 (.741) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Bucks were 14-7 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Bucks were 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 8-48 (.143) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (384 points/39 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (922 points/80 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks had a TS% of 53% last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (844 points/80 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons had an eFG% of 53% last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,073 assists/ 665 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (547 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,029 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,994 rebounds/80 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,147 steals/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (420 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (596 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pistons have blocked 420 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams


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