Bucks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | FDWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR, USA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 22-22 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 25-20 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-5.5 -115O 231.5 -105-220
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 -105U 231.5 -115+180

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.77 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+23.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (+13.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games (+11.41 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • 27-18 against the Moneyline (-11.15 Units / -9.33% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 25-20 (+2.95 Units / 5.83% ROI).

  • 17-29 against the Moneyline (+10.95 Units / 22.69% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 83 games (-35.55 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.42 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 42 games at home (-19.97 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 87 games (-56.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-18.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.05 Units / -18% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Bucks are 13-1 (.929) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 34-1 (.971) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838

The Bucks were 30-9 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks are 30-11 (.732) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Trail Blazers are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 39% from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (626/1,612) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (721/981) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have averaged 9.5 second chance points per game (190 points/20 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bucks have averaged 11.0 fast break points per game (219 points/20 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,711 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,676 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,177 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,509 rebounds/46 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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