Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Bucks Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 22-18 against the spread, while the Bucks are 17-26 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+5.5 -110O 238.5 -115+180
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -110U 238.5 -105-225

Bucks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Cavaliers and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+19.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+19.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 22-18 (+2.35 Units / 5.11% ROI).

  • 26-16 against the Moneyline (+9 Units / 12.01% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.7% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-0.95 Units / -2.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 17-26 (-11.65 Units / -23.97% ROI).

  • 31-13 against the Moneyline (+3.2 Units / 1.97% ROI)
  • 27-17 against the Over for game total points (+8.3 Units / 17.13% ROI)
  • 17-27 against the Under for game total points (-12.65 Units / -26.16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 51 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 21 of their last 58 games (-18.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 37 away games (-14.40 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 54 games (-12.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (-12.40 Units / -12% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Cavaliers were 19-8 (.704) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Cavaliers are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

The Cavaliers were 31-7 (.816) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Bucks vs. CavaliersFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Ricky Rubio (Cleveland Cavaliers): Personal, Out
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have 20.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.0

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers had 22.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 63.2 points per game (2,781 points/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,781 points/1,921 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 124.6 points per game (5,482 points/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (327 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers allowed 108.8 points per game (4,460 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,901 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (288 steals/44 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.