Cavaliers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

  • The Cavaliers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | ALT | KTVD

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 21-9 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-16 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 72.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+21.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+15.08 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+12.27 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.08 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 21-9 (+11.1 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 26-4 against the Moneyline (+17.95 Units / 12.84% ROI)
  • 20-10 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 10-20 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-16 (-6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI).

  • 16-12 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -9.93% ROI)
  • 18-10 against the Over for game total points (+7 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 10-18 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -31.82% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 72 games (-34.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-30.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 43 games (-22.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.20 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-19.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 64 games (-24.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.00 Units / -32% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Cavaliers are 8-1 (.889) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers are 11-1 (.917) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers are 24-4 (.857) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Cavaliers are 23-9 (.719) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Nuggets are 53-19 (.736) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Cavaliers have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 41% from three (482/1,188) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers are shooting 50% (1,340/2,660) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (290 points/28 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (115 assists/ 40 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (557 points/28 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.1 steals per game (274 steals/30 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (262 blocks/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (882 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,983 rebounds/110 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (129 blocks/28 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,037 rebounds/28 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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