Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 9

  • The Cavaliers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Pacers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 51-36 against the spread, while the Pacers are 40-45 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-4.5 -115O 231.5 -115-200
Indiana Pacers +4.5 -105U 231.5 -105+165

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pacers.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 92 games (+24.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 90 games (+22.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 90 games (+15.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 64 of their last 88 games (+14.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 64 games (+41.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games (+28.29 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 54 games (+20.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 95 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 51-36 (+11.4 Units / 11.78% ROI).

  • 68-20 against the Moneyline (+20.5 Units / 5.12% ROI)
  • 56-32 against the Over for game total points (+20.8 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 32-56 against the Under for game total points (-29.6 Units / -30.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 40-45 (-9.5 Units / -9.69% ROI).

  • 56-33 against the Moneyline (+24.7 Units / 10.33% ROI)
  • 47-38 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 5.31% ROI)
  • 38-47 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -13.99% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-30.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 42 games (-24.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 93 games (-21.14 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 92 games (-18.57 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-33.68 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 90 games (-31.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 92 games (-28.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-22.97 Units / -23% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are 58-17 (.773) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Cavaliers are 21-5 (.808) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Cavaliers are 54-8 (.871) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 35-6 (.854) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.5 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are 13-14 (.481) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pacers are 20-10 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Pacers are 21-11 (.656) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pacers are 20-22 (.476) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.34 points per shot (9,999 points/7,444 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Cavaliers are shooting 38% from three (640/1,671) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (355 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,896 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,876 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers have allowed 55.1 points in the paint per game (9,030 points/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6

The Pacers have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (929 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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