Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:40 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSDT | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 0-2 against the spread, while the Pistons are 2-2 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-3.5 -110O 226.5 -110-165
Detroit Pistons +3.5 -110U 226.5 -110+135

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavs will win Wednesday‘s game with 56% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 69 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Cavaliers have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 2-0 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-2 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Pistons have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -1.08% ROI)
  • 0-4 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 4-0 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 79 games (-38.35 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 30 games (-17.30 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 91 games (-31.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 43 games (-20.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers were 43-25 (.632) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Cavaliers were 28-1 (.966) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Cavaliers were 31-7 (.816) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are 10-64 (.135) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

Injury Report: Pistons vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Oct. 16

  • Detroit Pistons – No Injuries Reported
  • Cleveland Cavaliers – No Injuries Reported

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 12.5 second chance points per game (1,024 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Cavaliers averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,094 turnovers/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers allowed 108.8 points per game (4,460 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,621 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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