Celtics vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -12.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | NBSB | NBAt

The Boston Celtics visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Hawks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 38-30 against the spread, while the Hawks are 24-46 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-11.5 -105O 225.5 -115-600
Atlanta Hawks +11.5 -115U 225.5 -105+425

Hawks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 80.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Hawks.

Hawks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 74 games (+31.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 away games (+24.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 64 games (+22.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 75 games (+18.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+16.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 38-30 (+5 Units / 6.4% ROI).

  • 57-14 against the Moneyline (+18.65 Units / 5.25% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.45 Units / -4.42% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 24-46 (-26.6 Units / -34.55% ROI).

  • 31-39 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -15.09% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Over for game total points (+0.85 Units / 1.12% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -10.01% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 85 games (-32.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 64 games (-31.65 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 38 games (-19.70 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 94 games (-33.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-22.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-20.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Celtics are 22-2 (.917) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602

The Celtics are 12-1 (.923) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Celtics are 32-1 (.970) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Celtics are 39-7 (.848) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Hawks are 7-23 (.233) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .318

The Hawks were 35-28 (.556) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Hawks are 9-1 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .828

The Hawks are 12-44 (.214) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 25

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks are shooting 46% (3,018/6,498) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks have averaged 119.2 points per game (8,342 points/70 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.6

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,818 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,706 rebounds/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (460 blocks/71 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,381 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (494/1,196) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (4,280 points/3,010 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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