- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NBSB | SUN
The Boston Celtics visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Celtics vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 21-31 against the spread, while the Heat are 22-28 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Boston Celtics | O | ||
Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 79.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Heat.
Heat vs Celtics Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.
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Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 away games (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 71 of their last 98 games (+12.07 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+13.77 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 21-31 (-13.1 Units / -22.47% ROI).
- 37-16 against the Moneyline (-40.8 Units / -13.16% ROI)
- 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
- 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-28 (-8.8 Units / -16% ROI).
- 25-25 against the Moneyline (-4.9 Units / -5.57% ROI)
- 27-23 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 3.09% ROI)
- 23-27 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -12.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-19.68 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 71 games (-15.10 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 29 games at home (-14.35 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 80 games (-13.40 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 83 games (-55.40 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 89 games (-49.54 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.15 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-27.28 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Celtics are 25-6 (.806) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439
The Celtics are 37-13 (.740) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Celtics are 13-4 (.765) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Heat are 3-14 (.176) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Heat are 32-3 (.914) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .826
The Heat are 28-20 (.583) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Heat are 25-10 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Celtics have made 2,292 three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NBA teams
The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (696 points/132 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,044 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (452 steals/67 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,091 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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