Celtics vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 16

  • The Knicks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Boston Celtics visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New York, NY, NY.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Knicks Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 43-48 against the spread, while the Knicks are 46-45 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics+2.5 -110O 211.5 -110+118
New York Knicks -2.5 -110U 211.5 -110-145

Knicks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Knicks.

Knicks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 98 games (+23.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 away games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+13.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 43-48 (-9.8 Units / -9.68% ROI).

  • 67-25 against the Moneyline (-34.45 Units / -6.76% ROI)
  • 42-49 against the Over for game total points (-11.9 Units / -11.76% ROI)
  • 49-42 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 2.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 46-45 (-3.5 Units / -3.42% ROI).

  • 58-35 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -1.19% ROI)
  • 47-44 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.37% ROI)
  • 44-47 against the Under for game total points (-7.75 Units / -7.57% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 62 games (-25.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.45 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-18.62 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 94 games (-17.07 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 84 games (-38.80 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 97 games (-38.64 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-38.53 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 97 games (-32.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-28.12 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Celtics are 70-17 (.805) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Celtics are 34-8 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Celtics are 39-8 (.830) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Celtics are 65-16 (.802) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Knicks were undefeated (10-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Knicks are 10-6 (.625) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Knicks are 56-35 (.615) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Knicks are 16-10 (.615) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (706 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Knicks averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (650 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Knicks have an eFG% of 56% this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Knicks averaged 16.3 second chance points per game (1,339 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (17,744 points/14,846 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,114 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (324 blocks/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (660 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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