Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jun. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Boston Celtics visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Celtics vs Mavericks Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 50-43 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 59-42 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics+1.5 -120O 211.5 -115-105
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 +100U 211.5 -105-115

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 92 games (+30.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 47 games (+29.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 65 of their last 99 games (+26.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 80 games (+21.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 59 of their last 98 games (+20.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 77 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 50-43 (+2.7 Units / 2.48% ROI).

  • 79-20 against the Moneyline (+4.2 Units / 0.8% ROI)
  • 51-47 against the Over for game total points (-0.65 Units / -0.6% ROI)
  • 47-51 against the Under for game total points (-9.1 Units / -8.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 59-42 (+12.8 Units / 11.42% ROI).

  • 62-40 against the Moneyline (+7.4 Units / 3.56% ROI)
  • 46-56 against the Over for game total points (-15.6 Units / -13.9% ROI)
  • 56-46 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 4.81% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 75 games (-29.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-27.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 21 games at home (-22.75 Units / -62% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-20.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 94 games (-44.05 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 34 games (-24.30 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-23.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.75 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Celtics are 40-9 (.816) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Celtics are 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics are 55-16 (.775) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Mavericks are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .884

The Mavericks are 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks are 17-1 (.944) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Mavericks are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. CelticsFriday‘s Game, Jun. 14

  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (18,093 points/14,909 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,221 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (530 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.