Celtics vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Raptors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 19-18 against the spread, while the Raptors are 19-19 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-6.5 -115O 239.5 -110-275
Toronto Raptors +6.5 -105U 239.5 -110+220

Raptors vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Celtics and Raptors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Raptors vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 88 games (+23.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 67 of their last 88 games (+22.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 96 games (+13.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games (+17.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 19-18 (-0.75 Units / -1.75% ROI).

  • 30-9 against the Moneyline (+13.35 Units / 8.38% ROI)
  • 22-17 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 7.69% ROI)
  • 17-22 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -16.78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 19-19 (-1.95 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • 15-24 against the Moneyline (-15.15 Units / -24.18% ROI)
  • 23-16 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 12.6% ROI)
  • 16-23 against the Under for game total points (-9.35 Units / -21.77% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 59 games (-23.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-20.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-17.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 75 games (-15.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 96 games (-24.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 62 games (-20.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-19.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-18.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (-16.55 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Celtics are undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 25-1 (.962) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 4-12 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Raptors are 5-13 (.278) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have averaged 55.3 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Raptors vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Christian Koloko (Toronto Raptors): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,491 assists/ 717 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (717 turnovers/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,616 rebounds/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,504 rebounds/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,351 rebounds/39 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.