Celtics vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 5

  • The Thunder are -2.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | FDOK | NBAt

The Boston Celtics visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Celtics vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 14-20 against the spread, while the Thunder are 22-11 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Thunder.

Thunder vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 84 games (+20.77 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 97 games (+17.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 away games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 84 games (+12.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 away games (+11.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+21.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 14-20 (-8 Units / -20.78% ROI).

  • 26-9 against the Moneyline (-19.85 Units / -9.17% ROI)
  • 16-19 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI)
  • 19-16 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 22-11 (+9.9 Units / 25.71% ROI).

  • 29-6 against the Moneyline (+12.75 Units / 8.45% ROI)
  • 15-19 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -15.32% ROI)
  • 19-15 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 6.49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.38 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-16.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games at home (-15.50 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 41 games at home (-14.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 71 games (-41.22 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-31.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 71 games (-26.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 47 away games (-21.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 64 games (-17.08 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Celtics are 19-3 (.864) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Celtics are 24-6 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Celtics are 8-2 (.800) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Celtics were 36-1 (.973) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Thunder are undefeated (5-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Thunder are 13-1 (.929) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 21-5 (.808) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have attempted 1,760 threes this season — most among NBA teams

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,392 rebounds/117 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 steals per game (401 steals/34 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have 401 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,239/2,898) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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