Celtics vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

  • The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Boston Celtics visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Warriors Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 16-25 against the spread, while the Warriors are 20-21 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-10.5 -105O 224.5 -115-450
Golden State Warriors +10.5 -115U 224.5 -105+350

Warriors vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Warriors.

Warriors vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 67 of their last 91 games (+16.37 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.78 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 16-25 (-11.5 Units / -24.89% ROI).

  • 29-13 against the Moneyline (-37.75 Units / -14.37% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 20-21 (-3.2 Units / -7.08% ROI).

  • 21-20 against the Moneyline (-12.15 Units / -14.03% ROI)
  • 18-23 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -16.19% ROI)
  • 23-18 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 7.1% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games at home (-27.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (-26.91 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 72 games (-52.35 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 78 games (-47.99 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 78 games (-30.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-28.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-23.08 Units / -28% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Celtics are 20-4 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Celtics are 78-26 (.750) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Celtics are 46-10 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Celtics were 19-7 (.731) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors are 3-17 (.150) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Celtics have made 16.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (587/821) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors are shooting 42% (818/1,928) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have 20.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,091 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (6,940 points/5,872 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (220 blocks/41 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,507 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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