Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Bucks are -13.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | WMLW

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Bucks Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 35-39 against the spread, while the Bucks are 33-40 against the spread.


Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+12.5 -115O 217.5 -105+600
Milwaukee Bucks -12.5 -105U 217.5 -115-900

Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 87.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Bucks.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • No trends found
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 35 games at home (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 24-50 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -2.95% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-40 (-11 Units / -13.53% ROI).

  • 47-27 against the Moneyline (-13.5 Units / -5.27% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-20.60 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 25 games at home (-11.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 41 games at home (-11.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 36 games at home (-11.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 41 games at home (-9.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • No trends found

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

The Grizzlies are 4-20 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 37% from three this season — T-10th-best in the NBA.

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 26-8 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (1,349/3,124) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (2,864/6,579) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,477 points/3,210 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.47 points per shot (1,290 points/877 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Bucks averaged 14.4 second chance points per game (1,180 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.6 steals per game (662 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (465 blocks/75 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,050 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,796 rebounds/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.