Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

  • The Bucks are -13.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | WMLW

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Bucks Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 35-39 against the spread, while the Bucks are 33-40 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+12.5 -115O 217.5 -105+600
Milwaukee Bucks -12.5 -105U 217.5 -115-900

Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 87.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Bucks.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


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  • No trends found
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 35 games at home (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 24-50 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -2.95% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-40 (-11 Units / -13.53% ROI).

  • 47-27 against the Moneyline (-13.5 Units / -5.27% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-20.60 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 25 games at home (-11.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 41 games at home (-11.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 36 games at home (-11.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 41 games at home (-9.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • No trends found

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

The Grizzlies are 4-20 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 37% from three this season — T-10th-best in the NBA.

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 26-8 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (1,349/3,124) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (2,864/6,579) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,477 points/3,210 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.47 points per shot (1,290 points/877 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Bucks averaged 14.4 second chance points per game (1,180 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.6 steals per game (662 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (465 blocks/75 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,050 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,796 rebounds/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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