Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

  • The Grizzlies are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | GCSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA, USA.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Pelicans Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 36-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 25-38 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-10.5 -110O 239.5 -110-500
New Orleans Pelicans +10.5 -110U 239.5 -110+375

Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 69.4% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-26 (+7.4 Units / 10.69% ROI).

  • 39-24 against the Moneyline (+5.05 Units / 3.73% ROI)
  • 38-25 against the Over for game total points (+10.5 Units / 15.15% ROI)
  • 25-38 against the Under for game total points (-16.8 Units / -24.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-38 (-16.75 Units / -23.81% ROI).

  • 17-47 against the Moneyline (-27.8 Units / -32.94% ROI)
  • 37-26 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 11.93% ROI)
  • 26-37 against the Under for game total points (-14.7 Units / -20.88% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 79 games (-38.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 88 games (-26.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.92 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-24.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-29.22 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 29 games (-26.30 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 31 games (-18.50 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 25 games (-16.60 Units / -47% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Grizzlies are undefeated (8-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Grizzlies are 17-4 (.810) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 1-7 (.125) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

The Grizzlies are undefeated (5-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pelicans are 8-31 (.205) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 57.0 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 1-20 (.048) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have shot 37% from three this season — T-9th-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 26-9 (.743) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 39% from three (117/297) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 56% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 49% this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,010 points/64 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (451 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (375 blocks/63 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have blocked 375 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,327 rebounds/63 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.3 steals per game (661 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (346 blocks/64 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Pelicans have allowed 53.1 points in the paint per game (3,398 points/64 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.