Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Spurs are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Spurs Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 34-36 against the spread, while the Spurs are 35-34 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+6.5 -115O 216.5 -110+200
San Antonio Spurs -6.5 -105U 216.5 -110-250

Spurs vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 74.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Spurs.

Spurs vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 78 games (+22.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 away games (+14.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (+17.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 34-36 (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI).

  • 23-47 against the Moneyline (-1.55 Units / -1.92% ROI)
  • 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -10% ROI)
  • 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 35-34 (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI).

  • 15-54 against the Moneyline (-21.4 Units / -29.64% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.56% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 64 games (-26.75 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 71 games (-18.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-17.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games (-16.60 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 82 games (-33.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-23.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 85 games (-15.85 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-23) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .208

The Grizzlies are winless (0-15) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .152

The Grizzlies are 7-22 (.241) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-18 (.100) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 5-33 (.132) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

Injury Report: Spurs vs. GrizzliesFriday‘s Game, Mar. 22

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (1,355/3,141) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (214 assists/ 161 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Spurs have 20.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,380 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,232 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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