Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 20

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 43-40 against the spread, while the Thunder are 53-26 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Thunder.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.36 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.03 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 59 of their last 92 games (+27.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 68 games (+21.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 64 games (+18.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 56 games (+13.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 43-40 (-1 Units / -1.08% ROI).

  • 49-35 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 1.64% ROI)
  • 48-36 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 36-48 against the Under for game total points (-16.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 53-26 (+24.4 Units / 26.73% ROI).

  • 68-15 against the Moneyline (+19.25 Units / 4.2% ROI)
  • 46-36 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 7.01% ROI)
  • 36-46 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -15.99% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 64 games (-27.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 55 games (-19.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.83 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (-17.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-37.35 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-24.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 52 games (-23.30 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.02 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-20.85 Units / -26% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Thunder are 47-7 (.870) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (471 turnovers/42 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 41% (370/903) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies have 726 steals this season — 7th most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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