Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 29

  • The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | FDOK

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 22-10 against the spread, while the Thunder are 18-11 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 79.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Thunder.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 78 games (+26.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+19.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 76 games (+18.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 away games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 47 games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 44 games at home (+19.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+12.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 22-10 (+11 Units / 31.34% ROI).

  • 22-10 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 6.39% ROI)
  • 20-12 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 12-20 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -28.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 18-11 (+5.9 Units / 17.3% ROI).

  • 25-6 against the Moneyline (+8.75 Units / 6.33% ROI)
  • 13-18 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)
  • 18-13 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.08 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-14.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 89 games (-14.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.07 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games (-16.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.87 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-14.82 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies are 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .779

The Grizzlies are 5-31 (.139) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

The Grizzlies are 2-30 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Grizzlies were 9-24 (.273) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are 12-1 (.923) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Thunder are 32-4 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Thunder are 19-3 (.864) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Thunder are 12-3 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies are shooting 24% from three (21/86) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (354 turnovers/30 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (363 blocks/55 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have allowed 19.7 offensive rebounds per game (629 rebounds/32 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.9

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 steals per game (355 steals/30 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (548 steals/57 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,082/2,551) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have 355 steals this season — most among NBA teams


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