Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 15

  • The Warriors are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 41-40 against the spread, while the Warriors are 42-38 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+6.5 -105O 227.5 -110+240
Golden State Warriors -6.5 -115U 227.5 -110-300

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Warriors.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 77 games (+17.62 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+16.11 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 41-40 (-3 Units / -3.33% ROI).

  • 48-34 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 1.67% ROI)
  • 46-36 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 7.1% ROI)
  • 36-46 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -16.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 42-38 (+0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI).

  • 48-34 against the Moneyline (-24.2 Units / -10.06% ROI)
  • 41-41 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 41-41 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 72 games (-46.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 67 games (-32.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.57 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 65 games (-19.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.37 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 48 games (-37.35 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.20 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-21.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.82 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-18.55 Units / -24% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.4 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 30-14 (.682) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Warriors are 42-27 (.609) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Warriors have averaged 22.3 points in the paint per game (3,662 points/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Warriors have averaged 1.26 points per shot (9,331 points/7,412 shots) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies stole the ball 673 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (726 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors have 771 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams


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