Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

  • The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | NSBA

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 23-12 against the spread, while the Warriors are 17-16 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Golden State Warriors U

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Warriors.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 81 games (+25.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+18.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+16.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 away games (+16.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.43 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+7.62 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 23-12 (+9.8 Units / 25.52% ROI).

  • 23-12 against the Moneyline (+4.6 Units / 5.95% ROI)
  • 22-13 against the Over for game total points (+7.7 Units / 20% ROI)
  • 13-22 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -29.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 17-16 (-0.7 Units / -1.92% ROI).

  • 17-16 against the Moneyline (-8.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • 14-19 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 19-14 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (-25.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (-18.71 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.37 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 51 games (-15.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 77 games (-13.30 Units / -15% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are undefeated (6-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Grizzlies are 2-31 (.061) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 31-4 (.886) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 26% from three (28/108) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (489/686) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,337 rebounds/35 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (377 blocks/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,237 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,219 rebounds/33 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (181 blocks/33 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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