Hawks vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Hornets Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 17-37 against the spread, while the Hornets are 20-33 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-6.5 -110O 238.5 -115-250
Charlotte Hornets +6.5 -110U 238.5 -105+200

Hornets vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Hornets.

Hornets vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 84 games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games at home (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-37 (-23.65 Units / -39.88% ROI).

  • 24-30 against the Moneyline (-12.9 Units / -14.68% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -16.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 20-33 (-16.25 Units / -27.95% ROI).

  • 12-41 against the Moneyline (-7.65 Units / -13.77% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 59 games (-28.55 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 74 games (-22.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-18.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 48 games (-23.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 8-14 (.364) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Hawks are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Hornets are 2-9 (.182) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Hornets are 1-17 (.056) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Hornets are 2-13 (.133) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

Injury Report: Hornets vs. HawksWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • Cody Martin (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Wesley Matthews (Atlanta Hawks): Illness, Out
  • AJ Griffin (Atlanta Hawks): Illness, Out
  • Clint Capela (Atlanta Hawks): Thigh, Out

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks have 25.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Hawks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (867 points/54 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets are shooting 46% (2,790/6,113) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets had an eFG% of 52% last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Hornets have an eFG% of 51% in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,695 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have 412 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,754 rebounds/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have averaged 6.5 steals per game (345 steals/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hornets averaged 7.7 steals per game (634 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Hornets stole the ball 634 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.