Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

  • The Nuggets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 28-49 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 34-41 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Hawks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+11.5 -115O 221.5 -110+475
Denver Nuggets -11.5 -105U 221.5 -110-650

Nuggets vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 91.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+14.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 86 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 98 games (+25.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 90 games (+17.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 88 games (+16.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 90 games (+15.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-49 (-25.9 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • 36-41 against the Moneyline (-4.75 Units / -3.66% ROI)
  • 41-34 against the Over for game total points (+3.65 Units / 4.37% ROI)
  • 34-41 against the Under for game total points (-11.1 Units / -13.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-41 (-11.1 Units / -13.1% ROI).

  • 53-24 against the Moneyline (+13.95 Units / 5.05% ROI)
  • 30-45 against the Over for game total points (-19.5 Units / -23.01% ROI)
  • 45-30 against the Under for game total points (+12.05 Units / 14.24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-29.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-26.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-25.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 82 games (-15.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 69 games (-12.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 71 games (-27.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-23.40 Units / -46% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 19-24 (.442) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Hawks are 2-17 (.105) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .183

The Hawks are 10-26 (.278) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 52.4 rebounds/game this season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 46-7 (.868) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 120.0 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .122

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. HawksSaturday‘s Game, Apr. 6

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (1,236 points/77 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,201 assists/ 482 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 28.9 assists per game (2,369 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,647 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (357 blocks/77 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (531/1,314) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed 8.4 fast break points per game (648 points/77 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,766 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (560 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (597 steals/80 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (539 steals/77 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Nuggets vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.