Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 03, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | GCSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Pelicans Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 0-6 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 2-4 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+3.5 -105O 230.5 -110+145
New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 -115U 230.5 -110-175

Pelicans vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 68.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 64.6% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 84 games (+19.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 0-6 (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-5.05 Units / -42.26% ROI)
  • 6-0 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-6 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 3-3 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -12.25% ROI)
  • 4-2 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 2-4 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 84 games (-26.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-17.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 83 games (-36.70 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 83 games (-33.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -15% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th-best in the NBA.

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are winless (0-13) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .114

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — T-best in the NBA. The Hawks allowed 14.0 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Pelicans were 14-20 (.412) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. HawksSunday‘s Game, Nov. 3

  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported
  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans had a TS% of 47% in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pelicans averaged 25.6 points in the paint per game (2,098 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,088/3,254) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.