Hawks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 17, 2024, 1:26 PM
  • The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Thunder Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 1-2 against the spread, while the Thunder are 2-1 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+7.5 -105O 221.5 -105+240
Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 -115U 221.5 -115-300

Thunder vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 72.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 65.1% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 42 games at home (+23.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+16.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Hawks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -49.37% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Thunder have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 2-1 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 49.38% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 92 games (-17.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-17.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 62 games (-15.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 68 games (-13.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 83 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 51 games (-24.90 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.20 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Hawks were 5-12 (.294) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Hawks are 13-47 (.217) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-best in the NBA.

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder were 34-5 (.872) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three last season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Thunder vs. HawksThursday‘s Game, Oct. 17

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,295 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (1,090/2,805) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (4,938 points/3,512 shots) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,954 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder forced 16.8 turnovers per game (1,375 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.